Catching is such an interesting position year in & year out with few pillars of consistency and a whole lot of volatility. Newcomers arrive on the scene then fade away, those once stable pillars eventually crumble and fall, and there's always some prodigy on the horizon. How can you break free from drafting a terrible catcher who will play less than 110 games & generally hurt more categories than help? A two-headed approach.
Continuing with the mission to give you relatable projections to help build your fantasy team (first outlined for hitters here in Benchmarking the Projections), presented below are benchmarked projections for pitchers, both starters and relievers. The projections were compared to the average league category leader occurring since the introduction of PED testing. Seasons like those listed above form the measuring stick by which the projections are compared to. The list is color coded so you can easily separate the good from the bad numbers.
In fantasy baseball, the closer’s role experiences the most turnover over the course of a season. Every year, guys who appear to be locks for high-end production fall off and get replaced. It is truly a never-ending battle for any fantasy owner. Sure, Kenley Jansen, Aroldis Chapman, and Craig Kimbrel exist, but a premium price must be paid on Draft Day if an owner wants a virtual lock for a closer.
It’s all been done before. Draft season is here. Be prepared to be inundated with list after list. Each will be approximately the same in that it will be players ranked from best to worst, position by position. The lists will be annotated with blurbs announcing why their list is the best, and how their methodology changed. Some will use advanced metrics and others will be just what seemed right to whoever wrote it. All of these lists serve a purpose and are essential in forming your own opinion on draft day value. However, none of these lists are going to help you manage how you structure your team.
Tier 3 Aaron Nola NFBC ADP: 66 2017 xFIP GB% Z-Contact% SwStr% O-Swing% Nice! 3.38 49.8% 75.6% 10.8% Meh. 29.4% When your O-Swing% (barely below average) is my biggest gripe then you're probably pret-ty, pret-ty, pret-ty good (gotta love Larry David). Among 2017 qualified starting pitchers, Nola ranked 12th in xFIP, but "just" 20th... Continue Reading →
Tier 2 Stephen Strasburg NFBC ADP: 24 In his eighth MLB season, the Glass Joe (Mike Tyson's Punch-Out!) of starting pitchers exceeded 175 innings pitched for just the third time in his career. Despite this fragile flamethrower's injury history, he's still being drafted as the fifth SP of the board in NFBC drafts and for good... Continue Reading →
Tier 1 Max Scherzer NFBC ADP: 11 Say auf wiedersehen to your baseballs. Sorry, but I couldn't help myself. It's hard for me to not think of Inglorious Basterds when I read Max Scherzer's name aloud. Much like Hugo Stiglitz's character, Scherzer is all business. He's also the most reliable pitcher in this tier, which is why I... Continue Reading →
In my early stages of prepping for the 2018 fantasy baseball draft season and I am already noticing a few great values. I am looking at fantrax.com ADP data, as of 2/9/18. Some of these guys are small values and some are core guys that can win a championship. Most of them will be rostered by the winner of your league I'm sure. I am here to make sure that winner is you.
I'm not a fantasy sports expert. Great start to my first Fantasy Front Office article, right? But seriously, I'm not a fantasy expert. Don't get me wrong, I've won a healthy share of leagues. I naturally have the desire to spend hours a day researching obscure player stats, for fun. I probably too frequently check... Continue Reading →
CATCHER Buster Posey SF C,1B Kyle Schwarber CHC C,LF Gary Sanchez NYY C Willson Contreras CHC C,LF Jonathan Lucroy TEX C,1B J.T. Realmuto MIA C Travis d'Arnaud NYM C Salvador Perez KC C Yasmani Grandal LAD C Brian McCann HOU C,DH Evan Gattis HOU C,DH Matt Wieters WSH C Yadier Molina STL C Russell Martin... Continue Reading →